It is noted that this refers to a double reduction in the total number of American forces and assets in the overall NATO force model. The number of strategic bombers is halved, fighters reduced by a third. Attack-reconnaissance drones will be completely withdrawn, and the number of aerial refueling aircraft will be reduced by a certain amount.
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Importantly, in addition to aviation, fewer squadron minesweepers will also be allocated, and nuclear submarines will not be sent at all. There is currently no information about the reduction in the number of ground forces.
Invitation to Russia
Experts believe that this is not about withdrawing troops from Europe, but about a much more threatening decision, which is effectively an invitation to Russia to attack European countries. This is because the forces in question are those that Washington will be able to allocate to respond to a crisis situation in Europe, rather than the current composition of forces available to the US military headquarters in Europe and Africa.
“The point is that the approximately 70,000 American troops currently in Europe are only frontline units meant to help European countries hold back a Russian aggression offensive until the main forces are transferred from the US. This concept has remained relevant since the Cold War and was still relevant under the previous US presidential administration,” the publication writes.
At the start of the Cold War, the US planned to use 55% of all its forces in the European theater of war, at least in the first stage of a war against the Soviet Union. Since then, the number of US armed forces corps headquarters has been reduced to four, one of which is in Europe, and the number of active divisions to 11, none of which are in Europe; only brigades operate, some of which are deployed on a rotational basis. Maintaining the 55% proportion, this would be six divisions that the US would have to deploy in Europe for a war against Russia.
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Analysts explained: “Halving these parameters means that now only about 25–30% of US forces will be directed to respond to a crisis security situation in Europe, which is only 2–3 divisions. This percentage is also correctly applied to most of the forces and assets that the Pentagon now plans to send to the European theater of war.”
They state that overall this is about a very significant reduction in US involvement in NATO security issues. And the corresponding number of forces and assets directly determines military action plans.
Previously, NATO force command could plan not only to hold back a Russian offensive but also to swiftly crush the enemy with several counterattack strikes, pushing it back to previous positions or even further. However, with these forces reduced, for example, it will only be possible to plan defense within occupied boundaries.
In their opinion, this is already a perfect invitation for the Russians to start active military actions against the European NATO segment, since without the US or with minimal US involvement, the very principle of the Alliance’s collective deterrence simply disappears.
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