Based on available data, the situation with European air defense systems is no better.
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“We can assume that these systems have no missiles at all or almost none,” noted M. Reisner, commenting on the condition of the French-Italian “SAMP/T” complex.
According to him, even in the fifth year of full-scale war, the production of ammunition for this system has not significantly increased.
According to the expert, Washington keeps a large part of the American arsenal in the so-called “blocking reserve” – stocks that are deliberately not provided to allies to ensure the ability to withstand multiple strikes in case America itself or its main partners are attacked.
M. Reisner calculated that the number of these missiles is at least triple-digit, and it is likely this reserve that V. Zelensky had in mind.
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According to CSIS calculations, since February, US “Patriot” missile stocks have decreased from about 2,300 to 800 units. This was caused by constant Iranian attacks on US bases in the Persian Gulf.
Nevertheless, M. Reisner says Washington could technically still allocate a certain number of missiles to Kyiv.
According to the expert, by refusing to supply “Patriot” missiles, D. Trump is trying to pressure V. Zelensky and at the same time pushing the Kremlin towards negotiations: the US continues to provide Ukraine with intelligence information and targets that can be attacked on Russian territory.
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