The authors reminded that as early as 2022, they called Russia’s full-scale invasion the beginning of a much broader conflict that extends far beyond Ukraine’s borders.
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In their assessment, Moscow, Beijing, Tehran, and Pyongyang act as allies, while Western capitals have long viewed the war more as merely a regional conflict that erupted solely between Ukraine and Russia.
According to the article, the administration of then-US President Joe Biden did not link Russian aggression with China’s actions near Taiwan, North Korea’s military provocations, or the development of Iran’s nuclear program.
Even the Hamas attack on Israel in October 2023, in the authors’ opinion, did not change this approach.
At the same time, as experts note, Ukraine understood the scale of the threat from the very beginning. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned even before the invasion began that “Europe and the world are facing the biggest security crisis since the Cold War.”
M. Toth and J. Sweet drew attention to Zelenskyy’s recent words, when he stated that “Putin has already started World War III.”
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“Stopping Putin today and preventing him from occupying Ukraine is a victory for the whole world,” Zelenskyy emphasized.
According to analysts, during the war years, the Ukrainian defense forces not only stopped Russian attacks but also inflicted significant losses on Moscow.
These include long-range strikes on Russian territory itself.
According to analysts, Ukraine’s achievements are already influencing the global situation. They noted that Russia is forced to reduce its presence in the Middle East and Africa, and China is more carefully reviewing possible scenarios for Taiwan, taking into account Ukraine’s experience in modern warfare, which widely uses drones.
“World War III has not yet been won. But Ukraine is making victory achievable for the West – if only Washington and Brussels seize this opportunity,” J. Sweet and M. Toth summarized.
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